2pm: The Count

I’ve just visited two local polling stations and it’s running c.2:1 in Prabowo’s favour. This is not surprising as the area is a PKS & PPP stronghold.

But what I’m not sure about is how the count is being conducted.

At TPS 041, where ‘Er Indoor and Our Lad voted, the guy holding the ballot paper is calling out “nomor satu ” and “nomor dua“, but he’s not letting onlookers see where the papers have been marked..

At TPS 042, at the end of our street, the call is “Pra-bo-wo” and “Jo-ko-wi” … and we can hear him from fairly far off. He is holding the paper up for all to see where the hole has been punched in the paper.

It appears that at neither polling station is anyone actually checking whether the call is correct.

Conclusion? Confusion? Collusion?

Prabowo’s ‘Friends’

Lots of people want to ride with you in the limo, but what you want is someone who will take the bus with you when the limo breaks down.
– Oprah Winfrey

I doubt that many, if any, of Prabowo’s campaign coalition will be riding with him when, hopefully, his campaign ‘limo’ breaks down and he has no further use for his campaign bus.

It’s said that ‘power corrupts’, but actually it’s more true that power attracts the corruptible. The sane are usually attracted by other things than power.
David Brin

However, if he does win, heaven help Indonesia because, like pigs at the trough, the corrupt political oligarchs will continue rule the rakyat through condescension and sleight of hand, the one not holding a fat brown envelope.

No longer friends

In 2004, Prabowo was elected President of the Indonesian Farmers’ Association (HKTI), although some say that he ‘bought’ the position. HKTI which was established in 1973 to advocate for the farmers’ rights, and he has been consistent in placing farmers and fishermen in the public eye as his core constituency when expressing his nationalism. Yet, the executive committee of HKTI has given their backing to Jokowi  .

HKTI secretary general Benny Pasaribu said, “We will say this to Prabowo Subianto: claiming to be the chairman of HKTI is unethical and wrong, as it can create a restive environment and uneasy atmosphere among HKTI committee and members.”

Fairweather friends?

Assuming that Prabowo loses the election, I suspect that many of his coalition partners will abandon him because they would be unwilling to establish a legitimate opposition in the DPR, the House of Representatives. An opposition is necessary in a democracy because it serves to monitor government policies which they deem to be against the interests of the electorate.

Four political parties, Golkar, Prosperous Justice Party (PKS) and United Development Party (PPP), and the National Mandate Party (PAN) were part of SBY’s not very successful coalition.

Golkar, which was established as Suharto’s ‘Functional Group’, has never served in opposition. That the current chairman, Aburizal Bakrie has horse traded his party’s support in return, reputedly, for the position of Chief Minister in a Prabowo administration, has not gone down well with many in the party, The the youth wing in particular and many others have expressed their support for Jusuf Kalla, Bakrie’s predecessor as chairman and now Jokowi’s running mate.

Three of the Bakrie Brothers companies, coal miner PT Bumi Resources (BUMI), PT Bakrie Telecom and PT Bakrieland Development (ELTY), are currently defaulting on loans totalling c.$1 billion dollars and would be facing bankruptcy if the sums weren’t so huge.

Did Prabowo recognise a kindred spirit when offering this man a senior position in his administration?

The three other parties have versions of Islam running through their political aspirations. Only PPP has served in opposition, but purely notionally having been an amalgam of Islamic parties concocted by Suharto as a sop to democracy. Besides, any decision made by parliament had to be ‘consensual’, meaning that what Suharto decided was agreed with. Since reformasi, there has only been one true opposition party: Megawati’s PDI-P which nominated Jokowi for the presidency.

The Prosperous Justice Party (PKS) did well in the last presidential election because it had a strong anti-corruption stance. This image was totally wrecked when the former chairman Luthfi Hasan Ishaaq was sentenced to 16 years in prison for graft and money laundering.

For many outside the PKS ranks, the face of the party has been Ir. H. Tifatul Sembiring (the Twittering Simplefool in Jakartass parlance) due to his role as Minister of Communication and Information. Many of his decisions, such as his blocking of various sites such as Vimeo because they may have images of bare breasts, have caused raised eyebrows, lots of ‘what-the-fuckery’ comments, and general mockery. .

The current chair of the United Development Party is Suryadharma Ali, who upset many in the party by unilaterally declaring the party’s support for Prabowo. For a while, this split the party, and the decision was rescinded, only to be ratified later by a delegates conference.

Until recently Suryadharma Ali was the Minister of Religious Affairs, although I cannot find reference to any assistance given to non-Muslim groups. Following his naming as a suspect in a hajj fund graft case and the discovery of suspicious transactions in his bank accounts, many in the party have called for him to step down. A dishonourable man, he hasn’t

Given Prabowo’s admitted role in the kidnapping and still unresolved disappearance of students and activists in May ’98, many were surprised when the National Mandate Party (PAN) agreed to join his campaign coalition. PAN’s founder, Amien Rais, was a co-founder of the Peoples Mandate Council which was instrumental in the abdication of Suharto.

PAN is an Islamic party, but is open to all elements of society, regardless of gender, ethnicity or religion. In the event of a Jokowi win, I suspect that PAN would be willing, if not eager, to join his coalition.

There are any number of politicians who have been named as suspects by the Corruption Eradication Commission. If I were to list them all here, it would be obvious that few publicly support Jokowi.
One of Jokowi’s key supporters is Teten Masduki who was the Ramon Magsaysay Awardee (the ‘Asian Nobel Prize’) in 2005 for his public service in fighting corruption.

And in today’s newspapers, it is reported that the National Commission on Human Rights (Komnas HAM) has answered public criticism of its failure to take a stand on the human rights record of presidential candidate Prabowo Subianto by officially endorsing Joko “Jokowi” Widodo.
This will probably be my last post about the election because as from Sunday, there will be a ‘cooling off period’ of three days with no campaigning allowed.

I do not have the vote, but as a long standing resident here supporting my Indonesian family, I do have a stake in the country’s well being. and, thereby, the future of my adopted tribe.

I also choose my friends with care, and so should the electorate.

Govern with, over or against us?

The electoral campaign for the presidency over the past few weeks has made it starkly clear that the choice to be made in a week’s time is between two diametrically opposite choices.

The rakyat (citizenry) either seek or fear a return to the dark times of Suharto’s Orde Baru, one which was initiated with the slaughter of hundreds of thousands of intellectuals, organised workers, artists and anyone considered to be ‘communist’ – as well as neighbours who one had a grouse with.

Since then there has been sixteen years of slow and far from finished progress towards electoral enfranchisement, yet the notion that the current system suggesting that every citizen can have a stake in society has been embraced optimistically.

In 1999, President Habibie, Suharto’s successor, initiated a rapid process of decentralisation. However,as this report (pdf) from the International Crisis Group sets out in some depth, with direct elections this also decentralised corruption, from the provincial level down to local regencies. Prabowo suggests that some 30% of the elected bupatis (regents) are facing corruption charges. (That leaves 70% who are presumably doing a good job.)

Although banned, vote buying has become commonplace. Some candidates in the April parliamentary elections bankrupted themselves. Others, such as the Banten Dynasty (pdf) without natural resources to exploit, bought their way to power by bribing judges in order to overturn announced results. Thus, with the support of political party cronies (Golkar in the case of Banten) and the local business community, no serious opposition can make headway and the electorate is effectively disenfranchised.

Presidential candidate Prabowo is advocating a return to a centralised system of government, with the removal of direct elections. That will do nothing to change the mindset of Indonesians as advocated by Jokowi.

It’s only been 16 years since the process of reformasi began. Most parents and teachers were ‘brain washed’ to conform, to accept the diktats of Suharto’s Orde Baru. So the current education system does not yet encourage creative thinking, the understanding that there are consequences. (I hope that in the event of a Jokowi-Kalla win that Jusuf Kalla is kept well away from the education portfolio. He has shown little respect for teachers in the past.)

However, some 25% of the electorate is a generation which has grown up with access to social media and new ideas from all over the globe which can be placed in the context of Indonesian ‘culture’ as enforced by those parents and teachers. I would hope that the young, like the vast majority of the population is encouraged by the news this week of hitherto unprecedented sentence of life imprisonment for former Constitutional Court chief justice Akil Mochtar who had accepted vast sums to ensure that the Banten Dynasty, and other corrupt candidates for elected positions, ‘won’.

What we’ve witnessed is a victory over the country’s entrenched élite epitomised by the dilatory and insouciant President SBY. Although he often talked about ‘letting the law take its course’, he could have and should have lead from the top. Corruption, religious fundamentalism and general flouting of legal decisions from the Supreme Court have been hallmarks of his second term of office.

So, yes, I agree with Prabowo: there is certainly a need for strong leadership from whoever wins the election in a week’s time.

However, this need not, should not, be at the expense of the recently enfranchised electorate. Give the rakyat the opportunity to mature emotionally, intellectually and politically by punishing those who promise much yet on assuming office abuse the trust and aspirations of those who elected them.

Please don’t let them be fooled.

Prabowo – ‘Consensus, not elections’

This is a translation of an article (in bhs. Indonesia) published in the daily newspaper Kompas last Saturday

Jakarta 28.6.14

At a Cultural Dialogue held in Taman Ismail Marzuki in Jakarta last Saturday, presidential candidate Prabowo said that the Indonesian nation is a product of the West and difficult to fix because it (the political system?) has already been applied to the system in Indonesia.

According to Prabowo, it is necessary to form a new consensus.

“Consciously or unconsciously we are disciplined by the western elite, including Bung Karno, Bung Hatta, Bung Sjahrir, and including myself. We are products of the West.”

He added that information that comes from the West is considered to be superior. It’s in the nature of the Indonesian culture of respect for the teacher. When there is a teacher makes a suggestion, we accept it as something that must be obeyed.

The former commander of Kopassus added that Indonesia has implemented a Western political culture which overlays the culture of Indonesia. “Though not suitable, it is what we’ve got. including direct elections,” said Prabowo.

He likens them to an opium addiction, something pleasantly addictive, which should be stopped..

Prabowo added that much of the Indonesian economic political system is opposed to the philosophical foundation, laws, and traditions of Indonesia. To that end, according to Prabowo, there needs to be a mutual agreement to fix the system in Indonesia where it is already oriented to the West.

“We need a new consensus. Political leaders, intellectuals, religious, cultural, and even labor. I do not want to lose the cultural values of our ancestors,” he explained.

He wants to hold a large gathering on a national scale to discuss how to form a new consensus. Because, at this time, in the name of democracy, then all policies are established through voting, especially direct elections.

“Much of the Indonesian economic political system” was put in place by Suharto’s group of technocrats including Prabowo’s father. He, his brother and many of his cronies, including Aburizal Bakrie, have become obscenely wealthy through manipulating that system.

What are the “philosophical foundation, laws, and traditions of Indonesia”?

Presumably he is referring to those of his former father-in-law, President Suharto, who used the military to quash dissent, and rigged elections so that parliament was completely under his thumb, reaching all decisions by consensus. Dissent was rarely tolerated.

I am a little surprised by Prabowo’s list of who he’d invite to his “large gathering”. “Even labor”?

Would that be the group of workers at PT Kiani Kertas, a pulp and paper company in Berau East Kalimantan, formerly owned by Prabowo?

In August 2006, the company began a campaign of intimidation (.pdf) against the trade union federation of Forestry and Agriculture workers (HUKATAN-KSBSI). and at least 167 of the total of 370 members of KSBSI in the company were dismissed.

In 2007, this letter (pdf) was sent to Merrill Lynch, Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ), Cornell Capital, Development Bank of Singapore (DBS), and Cellmark from 93 NGOs in 27 Countries regarding Environmental, Social and Financial risks related to the United Fiber Systems pulp and chip mills and [its purchase of] the Kiani Kertas pulp mill in Kalimantan, Indonesia.

The letter alleges money laundering, significant environmental damage, including the illegal destruction of coral reefs, and that Kiana Kertas, and politically wired and corrupt Suharto cronies hiding behind a web of shell companies.

It is ‘democracy’ which enables those of us who are not part of the self-declared élite to discover the truth – and no, I’m not going to cover my back by using the word ‘alleged’ – about those who wish to continue grabbing what they can of Indonesia’s resources and to exploit the long-sought and fought for rights of the population in the name of the “philosophical foundation, laws, and traditions of Indonesia”.

What we are seeing in Prabowo’s speech is a barely disguised lust for power, one which Edward Aspinall and Marcus Mietzner describe as “vote for me, but just the once“.

This is perhaps the most explicit statement so far of Prabowo’s attitude to electoral democracy. He has stated in the past that democracy ‘exhausts us’, that he wishes to create a ‘productive’ rather than ‘destructive’ democracy, and has indirectly signaled an intent to dismantle much of the infrastructure of post-Suharto democracy by returning to the original version of the 1945 Constitution. Only now do we see that Prabowo very likely also wants to dismantle the very mechanism that will bring him to power: direct presidential elections.

Can this country really stomach another dictator?
Afterword (fr. the Jakarta Post, but not yet online)

Rather than accepting Prabowo’s condescension towards the “labor”, the Indonesian Prosperity Trade Union (SBSI) and the Indonesian Workers Union (KSPI) have declared their support for Jokowi.

“Jokowi encourages people to be more civilzed, not only people who are close to him, but regular folks like parking attendants* and becak drivers.”

*Presumably those who are not members of extortionist gangs.
In the same article, the Indonesian Employer’s Association (Apindo) chairman Sofjan Wanadi said that that the public’s support for Jokowi could be considered the people’s power, which could translate into change.

He said, “I’ve felt that we have been searching for this kind of leader.”

Prabowo – Fascist?

My father used to tell me that he’d “fought the war” for the likes of me.

That war, the Second World War, is currently being commemorated because seventy years ago the parents and grandparents of those of us from the UK and its Empire (now Commonwealth), the USA, Canada, Poland, Holland and France, had recently launched an invasion of the German-held territory of Normandy, the northern coastal area of France facing England.

Two million – repeat, two million – soldiers, sailors and airmen were involved in that invasion, all of whom were prepared to sacrifice their lives in order to defeat Hitler’s National Socialist (aka Nazi) régime whose symbol was a reversed swastika. Many of the invading force, such as the French, Poles, Dutch and Belgians, were volunteers seeking to free their countries from the jackbooted tyranny of dictatorial fascism.

It was to take another year, with the Russians invading, from the east before the final collapse and suicide of Hitler and his cronies. And it was to be several more months before Japan, Hitler’s far east ally, was to surrender following the dropping of atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, and Indonesians were set on their path to independence.

That potted history is engrained in the genetic memory of much of the world’s population, including the citizens of the losing countries German and Austria where the swastika is banned.

But not, it seems, in those Indonesians prepared to embrace fascism. To many of us, that seems very strange because when Japan occupied Indonesia, if not known by the epithet ‘fascist’, they certainly maltreated the population much as Hitler’s forces did in the countries they occupied.

fr. Wikipedia: The U.S. Library of Congress estimates that in Java, between 4 and 10 million romusha (Japanese: “manual laborer”), were forced to work by the Japanese military. About 270,000 of these Javanese laborers were sent to other Japanese-held areas in Southeast Asia. Only 52,000 were repatriated to Java, meaning that there was a death rate of 80%.

Then there is the issue of ‘comfort women‘ …

So, what is fascism?

Seven years ago I posted “an almost rant” having seen Mein Kampf, Hitler’s justification for the genocide of Jews, Romanies, homosexuals, physically handicapped non-Aryan men women and children, on display at the Jakarta Book Fair. It generated a fierce debate in the comments section.

I followed up that post with another which offered a definition of fascism and a link to the article by Laurence W. Britt I took it from. At that time, the worry was that the retired Generals Wiranto and Sutiyoso were eyeing the presidency. But now it is Prabowo who is the retired General who has assumed the mantle, so I’m reiterating here much, and more, of what I posted then.

We are two-and-a-half generations removed from the horrors of Nazi Germany, although constant reminders jog the consciousness. German and Italian fascism form the historical models that define this twisted political worldview. Although they no longer exist, this worldview and the characteristics of these models have been imitated by protofascist régimes at various times in the twentieth century. Both the original German and Italian models and the later protofascist regimes show remarkably similar characteristics. Although many scholars question any direct connection among these regimes, few can dispute their visual similarities.

Jackbooted Prabowo as Mussolini, the Italian fascisti dictator.

According to Laurence W. Britt, these are the ten characteristics of fascist dictators.

Powerful and continuing expressions of nationalism.
The undertones of Prabowo’s Indonesia take on a distinctly nationalist flavor.”

Disdain for the importance of human rights.
From an interview with Allan Nairn : General Prabowo said, “You don’t massacre civilians in front of the world press. Maybe commanders do it in villages where no one will ever know, but not in the provincial capital!

Identification of enemies/scapegoats as a unifying cause.

Prabowo “never makes it explicit who he’s talking about. It’s left for the audience to decide who the bad guy is based on their own personal animosities: Jokowi, Americans, the Chinese, Jews, George Soros…

The supremacy of the military/avid militarism.
Although he was ‘honourably discharged’ from the military in 1998 Prabowo was actually fired for insubordination. It is not yet known whether he would reintroduce Suharto’s dwi fungsi (the army’s dual role in international and domestic affairs.)

Rampant sexism.
Although Prabowo’s son is a fashion designer based in Paris and is assumed by some to be gay, the lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender (LGBT) community believe that “the Jokowi-Kalla ticket [is] more committed to fighting for their rights.

A controlled mass media.
Hary Tanoesoedibjo, MNC group owner (“Southeast Asia’s largest integrated media company“?) is one major backer. Another is Aburizal Bakrie, owner of PT Visi Media Asia and its two free-to-air nationwide television stations, ANTV and TVOne.

Obsession with national security.
Neither candidate seems obsessed with this topic.

Religion and ruling elite tied together.
Along with Jokowi, Prabowo is part of the ruling elite but his campaign is supported by the dominant Muslim parties  .

Power of corporations protected.
Both Jokowi and Prabowo have met with top ‘industry titans

Power of labor suppressed or eliminated.
Not labour, but folk in the immediate area of operations of PT Kiani Kertas, a timber company which was once owned by Prabowo. Two villages were resettled in order to build a paper pulp factory in East Kalimantan. The company refused to pay inhabitants compensation for the destruction of their houses and their resettlement costs. People who resisted the resettlement were terrorized and intimidated by troops.

Disdain and suppression of intellectuals and the arts.
Although his son is a fashion designer, brother Hashim Djojohadikusumo is infamous for buying antiquities stolen from museums .

Obsession with crime and punishment.
The jury is out on this one.

Rampant cronyism and corruption.
See this article for just some of the allegations against Prabowo.

And this article from 1998 about brother Hashim.

Prabowo has been criticised for keeping Suryadharma Ali in his campaign team. He was recently forced to resign as Religious Affairs Minister after being named a suspect in the graft involving the ministry’s hajj fund.

There is also the case which has gone to international arbitration of Churchill Mining v East Kutai Coal Assets involving Nusantara Energy, which is affiliated to Prabowo.

Fraudulent elections.
Although illegal, vote buying was rampant in the recent parliamentary elections.

Still not convinced about Prabowo’s hitherto latent fascism?

The rock star Ahmad Dhani is infamous because his then 13 year old son drove ‘his’ Mitsubishi Lancer and caused a deadly pile-up which killed six. Dhani has now caused uproar by wearing a replica of the uniform worn by Nazi military commander Heinrich Himmel in a music video dedicated to presidential candidate Prabowo Subianto and running mate Hatta Rajasa.

Time magazine says that This Indonesian Nazi Video Is One of the Worst Pieces of Political Campaigning Ever.

However, on his Facebook page Prabowo says he likes it.

And here’s a quote straight from Prabowo himself as recorded by Allen Nairn, who interviewed him in 2001: Prabowo asked: “Do I have the guts? Am I ready to be called a fascist dictator?”

It seems that the answer thirteen years later is “yes”.
BTW. A further pointer to Indonesia’s descent into fascism – an innate yearning for authoritarianism? – is the reopening this week of a nazi-themed cafe in Bandung

I’m losing my faith …

… in Jokowi.

Having never – repeat – never had faith in Prabowo, I’ll just say this about him:

The overtly Muslim political parties have joined the Prabowo-Hatta coalition, as has the FPI (= Effing Perverted Islamists), notorious for its violent raids against bars, churches and anything which their twisted and bigoted minds feel might upset their chances of being greeted by loads of virgins when they shuffle off, or get kicked off, the mortal coil. None of them seem to realise that those virgins waiting for them are aged Catholic nuns who having lived a life of chastity are not often noted for their sense of humour, and certainly wouldn’t have stood for any bullshit while they were sentient beings.

I do have some faith in Jokowi, not least because he has risen from ‘humble’ origins and as Mayor of Surakarta (Solo) and Governor of Jakarta, a big step up, has made a point of listening to folk who would be affected by his policies in the respective City Halls as well as and transforming the bureaucracies within to make them more transparent and responsive to the public. He has given very many of us a sense of optimism, a renewed idealistic hope, that the reformasi movement engendered following the forced abdication of the dictator Suharto may yet have solid roots.

A couple of days ago, it was reported that if elected, Jokowi would remove the designation of religion on the national identity card to prevent discrimination.

According to Musdah Mulia, a member of Jokowi’s campaign team, Jokowi considered the faith status as leading to discrimination, such as making it easier for a hardline group to conduct a religious sweep during a conflict.

“Another example is on job applications. A job seeker might be rejected just because the religion is different with (sic) the boss.”

She said that the faith status should only be recorded for the purpose of collecting data on the population and for civil registry.

Great, we thought.

What a person believes should be private, as long as our views do not impinge on the rights of others to hold contrary beliefs.

However, yesterday, the campaign team denied the plan, basically because in the autonomous sharia law governed province of Aceh, the religious police wouldn’t know who to cane for transgressions, and if someone dies alone with no friend and family with no religion stated on their ID card, no-one would know which religious funeral ritual to conduct.

This of course ignores the fact that uncounted numbers of Indonesians don’t actually have an ID card, and die unknown and/or unidentified. Are they all buried according to Muslim rituals?

Pause here for personal anecdotes.

  • A good friend, David Jardine, passed away three years ago. He was an atheist, yet the service at the crematorium was, and seemingly had to be, conducted with Christian prayers and hymns. This may have been a comfort to some of us, but if I had believed in an afterlife I would have imagined Dave watching us with a wry smile while mouthing “WTF?”

  • I’m a Muslim, but only because that’s what’s written on the I.D. card of ‘Er Indoors and we couldn’t have got married in Indonesia if we professed different faiths. It somehow seemed easier for me to go through the meaningless to me rituals conducted in Arabic, a language I don’t speak or read.

Yesterday, Jokowi said he had no plan to drop the religion section from ID cards.

“We have Pancasila as our country’s foundation. Its first article clearly says ‘Ketuhanan Yang Maha Esa’ (The Belief in One God), so having a religion is part of our character and identity,” Jokowi told reporters in Tegal, Central Java.

He said there was no practical reason to drop the religion section from ID cards.

“Why should we remove it if we know that this concerns our national identity?” he said.

“The Bhinneka Tunggal Ika [Unity in Diversity] principle must be upheld.”

I really like that principle and wish more countries had a similar doctrine. Yes, it must be upheld, but the belief in one God has lead to umpteen cases of religious-based violence, including attacks against followers of the Ahmadiyah in Banten and Lombok, and Shiites in Sampang, East Java, the illegal closure of churches, and the demolition of the Jewish synagogue in Surabaya.

Furthermore, the Belief in One God runs counter to Article XI of Indonesia’s Constitution which guarantees religious freedom for all.

Indonesia recognises just six religions, yet ‘tactfully’ permits certain groups, such as the Badui in West Java and the Mentawai in West Sumatra, to practice their ancient belief systems.

So whose ‘God’ should we follow?

I agree that there is only one, but not one officially recognised by the Indonesian government. Before the rise of monotheist (and masculine) religions some two thousand years ago, humanity worshipped many gods which truly governed the elements. Many were feminine goddesses, e.g. Isis, the Earth Goddess of Egypt and Gaia, the Mother Goddess of ancient Greece, creator and giver of birth to the Earth.

Whatever we call her, and I prefer Mother Nature, ‘she’ remains all powerful, and there isn’t anything that man-made religious constructs can do about it.

And that is why Indonesia should disband the Department of Religious Affairs (which allows polygamy, and other forms of corruption), and expand the Department of the Environment. Sadly, there has been no commitment or concern expressed by Jokowi or anyone in his campaign team about the post-reformasi ravaging of Indonesia’s ‘natural resources’ by private domestic and foreign companies.

The only indication of his awareness of its importance has been through the development of a bit more green space in Solo and Jakarta.

Hence my slowly fading faith.

The Timbuk 3 have a universal message.- Prey

Jokowi – Prabowo 5

This evening the two presidential nominees will face off without their sidekicks in the second televised debate supposedly to be broadcast by Metro TV.

I say “supposedly” because a. in Indonesia much of what is planned actually results from happenstance, and b. because I can find no mention of the debate in the Metro TV schedule.

Metro TV is owned by Suryo Paloh who is a prominent supporter of Jokowi. In 2009, having lost out to Aburizal Bakrie in his goal of becoming chairman of Golkar, he established the NasDem Party to further his political career. His original partner in NasDem was fellow media mogul Hary Tanoesoedibjo who was recently Gen. Wiranto’s choice as vice president candidate in Wiranto’s vehicle, the Hanura Party. Hary is the boss/owner of PT MNC Sky Vision which, through its satellite TV broadcaster Indovision beams loads of channels, including Metro TV, into Jakartass Towers Redux.

With me so far?

Neither NasDem nor Hanura garnered enough votes in the April 9th parliamentary election to allow Paloh and Wiranto to become candidates in the July 9th presidential election. Golkar did have the required percentage of votes to allow the despised Bakrie, owner of TV One, to pursue his presidential ambitions, but no party was prepared to join him in a coalition.

Jokowi wouldn’t even offer him a role in the government in exchange for Golkar’s backing, but Prabowo did, thus ensuring a majority of the April votes. Not that it’s going to make any difference because the nation’s vote for the President is about supporting a person rather than a political party, and there are now moves to unseat Bakrie from his position as chairman.

The Wiranto-Hery partnership also split with Wiranto, who really dislikes Prabowo, aligning Hanura with Jokowi and Hery taking his media group over to the Prabowo coalition.

One final piece of the jigsaw is needed.

Watching English football in Indonesia is problematic. Indovision doesn’t have the rights to broadcast the Premier League, but as Charlton is one tier below, I’m not that bothered. However, I’ve made it an annual ritual since I arrived here 26 years ago to watch the FA Cup Final which this year was broadcast by local terrestrial channel Indosiar. However, Indovision had a totally different programme on its Indosiar channel.

So, and I hope you’ve reached this far, if Indovision, a ‘Prabowo supporter’, is able to offer alternative programmes on the local channels it beams to its subscribers, will the debate on Metro, a ‘Jokowi supporter’, be replaced by something else?

BTW. The debate’s theme is “Economic Development and Social Awareness.”

This is the Jokowi-Kalla outlined economic programme and this Prabowo-Hatta’s.

That the pairs have similar programmes with a nationalist stance could make for a very boring debate. Moreover, thanks to the media, much of the electorate’s focus will be on oratory skills.

Prabowo is expected to focus on ‘the big picture’ (which in my less than unbiased opinion I’d prefer to call grandstanding.

He is a scion of a line of blue-blooded Indonesians with a prominent economist father, Sumitro Djojohadikusumo, who served as Minister of Trade for both Soekarno and Suharto, and grandfather Margono, who founded state-owned Bank Negara Indonesia.

Prabowo’s rise to political prominence has been funded by his brother Hashim Djojohadikusumo, currently ranked 42 in the Forbes list of Indonesia’s richest. After cashing out of his oil interests 6 years ago, Hashim now controls Arsari Group … whose interests include paper, palm oil, mining and logistics.

Note: According to a survey conducted by the Frankfurt-based Deutsche Bank, if Prabowo secured the nation’s highest office it would be a “disappointment” for investors, .

Before becoming the mayor of Solo, Jokowo was a businessman with interests in property and furniture. His campaign is largely funded by individual donations, and if elected president, it is anticipated that his focus will be on developing and supporting SMEs (small and medium enterprises).

Part of his popularity lies with his propensity for blusukan, of regularly visiting quite poor areas during which he wears informal clothes and spends time chatting to people about problems such as the price of food, housing difficulties, local flooding, and transport.

Note: Investors in the Bursa Efek, Indonesia’s stock market, would prefer a Jokowi win.
Last Note: This post has been edited. I originally understood that the debate was to be between the two vice president nominees, Jusuf Kalla and Hatta Rajasa.

It is hard to glean accurate information from Indonesia’s media given that it is largely controlled by oligarchs with political aspirations. The media therefore cannot be considered objective and impartial.

This is but one example: In early April, an email from Ardiansyah Bakrie, the son of Aburizal and President of VIVA.co.id, emerged in which he berated the top executives for allowing a Jokowi advertisement [to be] placed on the most visible spot on the website, and told those who refused to remove the advertisement to resign.

(Aburizal Bakrie is one of the most reviled politicians who traded his support for Prabowo in return for two – or was it just one? – positions in a Prabowo government.)

Unfortunately, I won’t be able to watch the debate. ‘Er Indoors is hosting the neighbourhood’s arisan so I won’t have access to the TV.

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